# GoldBreakM15Short

Identifies high-probability bearish breakouts on Gold using multiple technical layers.

Canonical: https://prismaticalgos.com/compendium/algo/12215-goldbreakm15short
Record ID: 12215
Catalog rank: 2711 (reading order, not performance)
Snapshot: 2026-10-31 15:46 UTC
Family: Trend Following & Directional (A)
Source: https://ctrader.com/products/3916
Evidence label (unverified): backtest_shown

## Scope and limitations

These are machine-extracted research records, not verified trading systems. Catalog rank measures specification detail and claimed evidence, not profitability. The catalog extraction pipeline did not independently backtest these records. Its separate selected testing ledger does not validate the wider corpus. Rules, labels and parameters can be incomplete or wrong; consult the original source and its reuse terms.

No endorsement, ownership claim or source-code reuse permission is implied.

## Extraction warnings

Claim warnings: THIN SAMPLE: 63 trades - below the ~100 needed before a win rate or profit factor carries much information.

## Recorded profile

- symbols: XAUUSD
- timeframes: M15
- sessions: Not specified
- market_regime: breakout

## Indicators

- Keltner Channel: {"period": null}; applied to: close
- WaveTrend: {"mode": "Reversal Mode, Continuation Mode"}; applied to: close
- MFI: {"threshold": null}; applied to: close
- EMA: {"period": "Fast EMA, Slow EMA"}; applied to: close
- ATR: {"multiplier": null, "period": 20}; applied to: close
- CCI: {"period": null}; applied to: close
- Big-Move Exhaustion Guard: {}; applied to: close

## Recorded long-entry rules

- Not specified.

## Recorded short-entry rules

- Keltner Channel Breakdown - Price closes below the lower band (EMA - ATR multiplier), confirming a structural momentum shift to the downside
- Hybrid WaveTrend Signal - Two modes, both bearish: - Reversal Mode: WaveTrend crosses from positive territory into negative within a configurable lookback window - catching early reversals at trend turns - Continuation Mode: WaveTrend is deeply negative (below a configurable threshold) - riding sustained downtrends without waiting for a fresh crossover
- Money Flow Index (MFI) < Threshold - Confirms genuine selling pressure backs the move, not a low-volume rejection spike
- EMA Downtrend Alignment - Price must be below both Fast EMA and Slow EMA simultaneously, requiring structural trend confirmation before entry
- ATR Expansion Filter - ATR must be expanding relative to its 20-bar baseline, confirming that momentum is present and not exhausted
- ATR Volatility Ceiling - ATR must remain below 1.55× its baseline, filtering out choppy, erratic conditions where breakouts are unreliable
- CCI Below Dynamic Lower Band - CCI must fall below its own SMA − StdDev band, requiring momentum confirmation from a second independent oscillator

## Recorded exit rules

- Stop Loss is placed at the nearest confirmed pivot high plus an ATR buffer - a structural stop, not an arbitrary pip distance. When no valid pivot is found, an ATR-based fallback (SlMultiplier × WidthFactor × ATR) is used automatically.
- Take Profit is set at a configurable Reward:Risk multiple below the entry price. An optional TP Boost (×1.3 by default) applies when the entry bar is a wide-range impulse candle, the fast EMA has been falling for three consecutive bars, and the bar closes bearish — capturing stronger momentum moves with a proportionally wider target.
- Break-Even moves the Stop Loss to entry - a pip buffer once price reaches a configurable percentage of the distance to Take Profit, locking in the trade for free.

## Recorded filters

- spread filter
- big-move exhaustion guard
- cooldown bars
- one position at a time

## Risk controls

- Stop loss: nearest confirmed pivot high plus an ATR buffer
- Take profit: configurable Reward:Risk multiple below the entry price, with optional TP Boost
- Position sizing: risk-based position sizing - lot size is calculated dynamically as a percentage of current account equity