# Bayesian SMC

Indicador que combina os conceitos de Smart Money (SMC) com inferência Bayesiana em log-odds para gerar probabilidades de compra e venda em tempo real.

Canonical: https://prismaticalgos.com/compendium/algo/454-bayesian-smc
Record ID: 454
Catalog rank: 156 (reading order, not performance)
Snapshot: 2026-10-31 15:46 UTC
Family: Price Action & Market Structure (E)
Source: https://github.com/hugopsousa-dev/mt5-bayesian-smc
Evidence label (unverified): source_code

## Scope and limitations

These are machine-extracted research records, not verified trading systems. Catalog rank measures specification detail and claimed evidence, not profitability. The catalog extraction pipeline did not independently backtest these records. Its separate selected testing ledger does not validate the wider corpus. Rules, labels and parameters can be incomplete or wrong; consult the original source and its reuse terms.

No endorsement, ownership claim or source-code reuse permission is implied.

## Extraction warnings

Opacity warnings: UNDEFINED ENTRY TERM: the entry conditions are prose naming a concept with no numeric definition, so two readers would implement them differently. Advisory only -- this does not affect the score.

## Recorded profile

- symbols: USDJPY
- timeframes: H4
- sessions: Not specified
- market_regime: any

## Indicators

- Trend: {"ema_fast": 20, "ema_slow": 50}; applied to: close
- Momentum: {"rsi_period": 14}; applied to: close
- Structure: Not specified; applied to: Not specified
- Imbalance: Not specified; applied to: Not specified
- Liquidity: Not specified; applied to: Not specified
- Volume: {"volume_ma_period": 20}; applied to: volume

## Recorded long-entry rules

- P(BUY) ≥ 60%

## Recorded short-entry rules

- P(SELL) ≥ 60%

## Recorded exit rules

- seta SELL + Entry/Stop/TP
- seta BUY + Entry/Stop/TP

## Recorded filters

- confiança mínima 60%

## Risk controls

- Stop loss: 1.5× ATR
- Take profit: TP1 1.5R, TP2 3.0R
- Position sizing: Not specified